http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/services/Feed ${session.getAttribute("locale")} 5 http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:25369 14 page(s) 2013-05-02T01:33:43.973Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22003 14 pages(s) 2013-04-11T11:44:49.075Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22005 28 pages(s) 2013-04-11T11:44:47.495Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24790 This paper provides an historical overview of the development of police suspect interviewing. The paper highlights how different approaches developed based upon the prevailing needs of the time, from early approaches involving torture and threat s, simple question and answer approaches, through to methods incorporating knowledge from the behavioural sciences such as persuasive interviewing. The paper highlights some of the problems associated with these approaches in particular risks of unreliable information and potential miscarriages of justice and discusses more recent ethically oriented interview approaches developed to minimise some of these risks. The paper stresses the importance of sensitivity to the rights and needs of suspects even when carrying out interviews under pressured conditions. 2013-04-10T05:30:06.935Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22009 9 pages(s) 2013-04-09T06:20:26.572Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24960 23 pages(s) 2013-04-08T13:30:10.701Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24958 26 pages(s) 2013-03-27T03:10:09.664Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24836 16 pages(s) 2013-03-18T04:00:33.213Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24616 Conflicts of interest are a key factor in the contemporary decline of trust in government and public institutions, eroding public trust in government and democratic systems. Drawing on two unique empirical studies involving policing and the broader public sector, this paper explores the meaning and dimensions of conflict of interest by examining public complaints about conflict of interest and providing distinctive insights into the nature of conflict of interest as a problem for public sector ethics. The paper analyses and explores appropriate regulatory and management approaches for conflict of interest, focusing on three elements: (1) dealing with private interests that are identifiably problematic in the way they clash with the duties of public officials; (2) managing conflicts as they arise in the course of public sector work (manifested in preferential and adverse treatment, and other problematic areas); and (3) developing ethical and accountable organisational cultures. It is concluded that effective and meaningful public sector ethics in the pursuit of the public interest must be based on an ethos of social accountability and a commitment to prioritise the public interest in both fact and appearance. 2013-03-11T21:12:07.622Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20472 2 page(s) 2013-02-28T10:06:11.905Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24399 Spiritual versus the material? -- Religion, material culture and archaeology ; the problematic nature of material culture in studies in religion ; the problematic nature of religion in archaeological studies of materiality -- Archaeologies of religion ; the Marxist and functionalist context, archaeology as a social science ; interpretive archaeology -- Sacred and profane landscapes ; landscape, phenomenology and religion ; the sacred and the profane ; reflexive religious landscapes -- Archaeology and the materiality of religion. 2013-02-27T05:23:17.416Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24195 Providing an original argument about the decline of social democracy, the author investigates how its decline has increased the popularity of minor parties and independents, along with the reasons for social democratic membership and electoral decline. This is an important book for scholars of social democracy and the broader themes of world politics, political parties, social movements and globalization. 2013-02-18T06:33:04.677Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24211 The federal leader of the Australian Labor Party (ALP) Mark Latham advocates a “new politics”, where the establishment is “given hell”, and the privileges of the “insiders” of the system cracked down upon. His bold declaration to bring Australian forces serving in Iraq home by Christmas 2004 provoked not just speculation that he was pursuing a more isolationist foreign policy, but also that the party would be moving in a radically different direction under Latham’s leadership. This paper looks at the reality of the direction of the Latham-led ALP in the early part of his leadership as well as likely future directions. It begins by looking at the trajectory of the party in the years since losing office in 1996, and concludes that the economic neo-liberal and socially conservative path taken by former leaders Kim Beazley and Simon Crean is being continued under Latham, with the addition of a populist twist. Latham’s “new politics” and his “democratic reform” proposals are critically assessed. Latham’s grand ambitions for a “new politics” must be considered alongside a number of old dilemmas faced by the ALP. The question of how distinct is Labor’s policy agenda from that of the Coalition will continue to dog Latham just as it did his predecessors. How much can Labor intervene in the market to improve the lot of the majority when it believes that the ability of nation-states to challenge global economic forces is severely limited? The issue of how much it can deliver to its more disadvantaged constituents without alienating business groups has been a perennial thorn in the side of Labor in government, and all the evidence suggests that this dilemma will be even more sharply posed under a Latham administration. 2013-02-18T06:32:45.853Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24180 This paper examines whether the underlying demographic factors that precipitated the wave of popular uprisings across the Middle East, popularized as the “Arab Spring,” can be used to predict the likelihood of similar grassroots uprisings occurring through the chain of islands to Australia’s north, sometimes called the “Arc of Instability”. The paper examines demographic factors such as population age structure and growth rates, youth literacy rates and fertility rates to determine whether demographic modernization is underway in the region. Emmanuel Todd and Youssef Courbage have argued that, when coupled with the presence of a youth bulge, the process of demographic modernization signaled by a rapid increase in literacy, falling birth rates and a decrease in the widespread custom of endogamy can lead to a transformation of the political system, a spreading wave of democratization, and the change of subjects into active citizens potentially leading to popular uprising. Overall, the present paper finds that although countries in the Arc are in broad conformity with the youth bulge and demographic modernization models, there are a series of extenuating factors specific to the region, such as access to emigration, communication infrastructure, geography and population size that make it unlikely that a mass regional mobilization will occur. 2013-02-13T00:50:07.914Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24069 South African vigilante organisations offer a unique perspective of non-state, informal community policing. Over the past 25 years, the incidences of private citizens banding together to dispense their own “street justice” have proliferated, particularly in areas suffering from high crime and socio-economic disadvantage. Many vigilantes operate with significant community support and while vigilantism offers the promise of security to millions of South Africans left unprotected by the public police or by private security companies, a more sinister side to the vigilante phenomenon has emerged. Reports detailing systematic class and generational persecution, accompanied by consistent and brutal human rights violations, have tarnished the image of these often proudly patriarchal “autonomous citizens”. By drawing on theories of nodal governance, this article explores how the young, the poor, women and the socially marginalised have proven especially vulnerable to vigilante violence, and the ways in which vigilantism reproduces a domineering, highly conservative and patriarchal mode of social control. 2013-02-06T03:41:36.413Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:24091 Vigilantism is a crime often associated with parochial gangs and rampaging mobs. Yet the conditions that catalyse vigilantism are beyond the remit of these groups, and instead implicate states in wilful acts of exploitation and criminal neglect. Across much of South Africa, the poverty and lawlessness created by apartheid has been left unaddressed in the nearly twenty years since democratic transition. Elites and others with sufficient means isolate themselves behind increasingly sophisticated layers of private security. Outside the walls, vigilantes emerge as what is often considered a necessary evil, providing one of the only options for security and also an avenue of protest identity. This article examines South African vigilantism through the prism of state crime, arguing that the state, and particularly its agents, the South African police, are guilty of crimes of omission, and of fostering a vigilante culture whereby private citizens have few alternatives but to turn upon one another in the name of justice. 2013-02-06T03:40:56.556Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:23995 Vigilantism has a long and troubling history in the Republic of South Africa. Particularly since the latter days of apartheid, vigilante violence has become a regular feature of life in many poverty-affected and marginalised communities. This disturbing tendency indicates a ready inclination on the part of some ordinary citizens to embrace excessive violence in the name of informal justice. This paper will explore how vigilantism represents a systemic, conditioned response to crime, fear, poverty and other socio-cultural and historical factors. While in the past, scholars investigating South African vigilantism have tended to focus on the practice in terms of its criminality and threat to state legitimacy, recent studies suggest that the reality of contemporary vigilantism may be more complex and ambiguous. In the context of state failure to provide security and reliable criminal justice mechanisms vigilantism has, in some communities, come to be a respected homegrown response to criminality and deviance. This paper will examine the emergence and evolution of vigilantism in South Africa and seek to address crucial questions regarding its legitimacy and role in South African life. 2013-01-31T04:51:22.628Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:23832 19 pages(s) 2013-01-24T03:21:28.348Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:23339 24 pages(s) 2012-12-12T00:00:10.960Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:23299 14 pages(s) 2012-12-10T01:50:49.575Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:23083 12 pages(s) 2012-11-28T02:22:25.440Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20327 2012-11-22T03:46:56.545Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20326 2012-11-21T09:44:34.142Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20329 2012-11-21T09:44:33.433Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20328 2012-11-21T09:44:33.405Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22116 International relations in South Asia: state of the art -- Distant futures and alternative presents for South Asia -- Identity without exceptionalism: challenges for Asian political and international studies -- Our region their theories: a case for critical security studies in South Asia -- Pluralism, democracy and ethnic conflict resolution: possibilities in Sri Lanka for state re-making -- The Westphalian state in South Asia and future directions -- Nepal: from authoritarianism to democracy -- Intra-state/inter-state conflicts in South Asia: the constructivist alternative to realism -- The agent-structure problem and India's external security policy -- Can non-provocative defence work for Pakistan? -- Exploring the linkages between rights and security in South Asia -- States in crisis, subalternity and security stakes: the case for a track-three strategy in South Asia -- A critique of contemporary liberal IR theory from a South Asian standpoint -- Stripping women, securing the sovereign 'national' body: the state of exception in everyday life. 2012-11-13T04:49:21.420Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22405 This article explores ways in which virtual worlds like Second Life can be used to draw vulnerable individuals through the various stages of radicalisation. It examines the nature of radicalisation and outlines social, cultural, religious and psychological parameters that make some individuals more susceptible than others. The article uses a fictional avatar as the focal point for a journey through various destinations in Second Life. The objective is to present the reader with observational research on what such a journey might be like. The avatar visits a number of Second Life destinations. The content is examined in light of extremist viewpoints and the potential for radicalisation. This journey, and the subsequent analysis, demonstrate the enormous power inherent in these graphic three-dimensional sites to influence the way individuals think. It also underscores the urgent need for multi-disciplinary and multi-national counter-radicalisation strategies that respond to the challenges presented by virtual worlds. 2012-10-30T18:45:48.143Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22120 NaN page(s) 2012-10-23T00:35:29.684Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22121 NaN page(s) 2012-10-23T00:35:27.551Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22123 Book review of 'Terrorism and global security : historical and contemporary perspectives' by Anne Aly. South Yarra, Vic. : Palgrave Macmillan, 2011, ISBN: 9781420256406. 2012-10-23T00:35:22.314Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22130 243 page(s) 2012-10-23T00:35:18.339Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22126 2012-10-23T00:35:18.026Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22128 Global transformations and world futures : knowledge, economy & society -- Global transformations in knowledge : social and cultural issues -- Global science -- Non-Western science : mining civilizational knowledge -- Global management of knowledge systems -- Tranformations of information society -- From the information era to the communicative era -- Building "real" and "virtual" human communities in the 21st century -- Navigating globalization through info-design, an alternative approach to understanding cyberculture -- The global economy -- Multinational corporations -- Global movement of labor -- The internet and political economy -- Economics of transition -- Global business ethics -- Globalization as if the entire globe mattered : the situation of minority groups -- Strategies to eradicate poverty : an integral approach to development -- North-North, North-South, and South-South relations -- World futures : trends and transformations in state, education and cultural ecology -- Epistemology and methodology in the study of the future -- The grand patterns of change and the future -- Multilayered scenarios, the scientific method and global models -- The futures of the United Nations and the world system -- Globalization and information society-increasing complexity and potential chaos -- Globalization, gender, and world futures -- Neo-humanism, globalization, and world futures -- Sustainable education : imperatives for a viable future -- Financial resources policy and management : world economic order -- International commodity policy : a new concept for sustainable development -- Global sustainability : rhetoric and reaklity, analysis and action : the need for removal of a knowledge-apartheid world -- Economic assistance to developing countries and sustainable world population -- Capacity development and sustainable human development. 2012-10-23T00:35:13.765Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22129 240 page(s) 2012-10-23T00:35:13.196Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22132 240 page(s) 2012-10-23T00:35:07.964Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22134 5 pages(s) 2012-10-23T00:35:05.009Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22135 7 pages(s) 2012-10-23T00:35:02.073Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22133 4 pages(s) 2012-10-23T00:34:58.649Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22143 6 page(s) 2012-10-23T00:34:35.075Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22115 8 page(s) 2012-10-16T01:30:08.624Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:19749 A book review of 'Terrorism and social exclusion : misplaced risk, common security', edited by edited by David Wright-Neville, Anna Halafoff, Edward Elgar, c2010, ISBN: 9781847208163. 2012-10-15T07:26:32.367Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22097 The malware Stuxnet was designed to sabotage the Iranian nuclear programme by targeting industrial control systems (ICSs). The potential for cyber attacks to be a significant threat to critical infrastructure has been discussed over the last 15 years, but it was only in 2010 that this potential was finally realised with the advent of Stuxnet. Stuxnet, unlike the malware that came before it, is highly targeted and designed to achieve a real-world outcome. Stuxnet has challenged assumptions about environments not connected to the internet and the belief that network defences will protect facilities from vulnerabilities in software applications. This paper examines Stuxnet's forerunners, Stuxnet in detail, its target, and its implication for critical infrastructure. Whatever the cost to create Stuxnet, it was far less than the cost of a traditional military attack. Future versions of Stuxnet may be used by nation states, terrorist groups, hacktivists and cyber criminals to achieve their own goals. In the future, cyber weapons may not be as restrained as Stuxnet. This malware has started a new arms race, and has created serious implications for the security of critical infrastructure worldwide. 2012-10-15T07:10:53.769Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21995 Purpose - Ethnographic studies of cyber attacks typically aim to explain a particular profile of attackers in qualitative terms. The purpose of this paper is to formalise some of the approaches to build a Cyber Attacker Model Profile (CAMP) that can be used to characterise and predict cyber attacks. Design/methodology/approach - The paper builds a model using social and economic independent or predictive variables from several eastern European countries and benchmarks indicators of cybercrime within the Australian financial services system. Findings - The paper found a very strong link between perceived corruption and GDP in two distinct groups of countries - corruption in Russia was closely linked to the GDP of Belarus, Moldova and Russia, while corruption in Lithuania was linked to GDP in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Ukraine. At the same time corruption in Russia and Ukraine were also closely linked. These results support previous research that indicates a strong link between been legitimate economy and the black economy in many countries of Eastern Europe and the Baltic states. The results of the regression analysis suggest that a highly skilled workforce which is mobile and working in an environment of high perceived corruption in the target countries is related to increases in cybercrime even within Australia. It is important to note that the data used for the dependent and independent variables were gathered over a seven year time period, which included large economic shocks such as the global financial crisis. Originality/value - This is the first paper to use a modelling approach to directly show the relationship between various social, economic and demographic factors in the Baltic states and Eastern Europe, and the level of card skimming and card not present fraud in Australia. 2012-10-10T05:50:50.558Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:22008 320 page(s) 2012-10-10T05:50:33.090Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21858 Purpose : Based on a report to the non-profit organization, The Foundation for the Future, this article aims to review methodological approaches to forecasting the long-term future. Design/methodology/approach : This is not an analysis of the particular content of the next 500 or 1,000 years but a comparative analysis of methodologies and epistemological approaches best utilized in long-range foresight work. It involves an analysis of multiple methods to understand long-range foresight; literature review; and critical theory. Findings : Methodologies that forecast the long-term future are likely to be more rewarding - in terms of quality, insight, and validity - if they are eclectic and layered, go back in time as far as they go in the future, that contextualize critical factors and long-term projections through a nuanced reading of macrohistory, and focus on epistemic change, the ruptures that reorder how we know the world. Research limitations/implications : The article provides frameworks to study the long-range future. It gives advice on how best to design research projects that are focused on the long-term. Limitations include: no quantitative studies were used and the approach while epistemologically sensitive remains bounded by Western frameworks of knowledge. Practical implications : The article provides methodological and epistemological guidance as to the best methods for long range foresight. It overviews strengths and weaknesses of various approaches. Originality/value : This is the only research project to analyze methodological aspects of 500-1,000 year forecasting. It includes conventional technocratic views of the future as well as Indic and feminist perspectives. It is among the few studies to link macrohistory and epistemic analysis to study the long-term. 2012-10-08T03:44:47.630Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21874 Islam can be seen as a counter discourse to globalization, to the expansion of economic space and the fulfillment of the dreams of the social Darwinists. However, even as Islam attempts to create new possibilities for globalism, national politics doom it to a politics of reaction, of reducing diversity and innovation. This is especially perilous as the next phase of globalization promises to end historical notions of reality, truth, nature and sovereignty. In this dramatically changed world, Islam can join with other counter discourses to create a moral vision of a planetary society, an alternative vision and reality of globalization. 2012-10-08T03:44:01.928Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21930 Book review of 'Sir Richard Burton's Travels in Arabia and Africa: Four Lectures from a Huntington Library Manuscript' by John Hayman, San Marino, CA: Huntington Library, 2005, ISBN: 9780873282093. 2012-10-08T03:40:50.592Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21743 Alternatives Futures of Occupational Therapy are explored. These scenarios include: (1) business as usual where the future is known - traditional bureaucracies and traditional caseloads; (2) social justice based focused on rights; (3) transformative breadth and depth based, creating a new discourse via the triple bottom line; and, (4) focused on biomedical discourses, using new technologies to enable others. 2012-09-28T05:22:39.188Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21744 Like death, the West has become ubiquitous. But will hegemony continue and are there any signals of possible transformation from within and without? Four alternatives for the West are developed. (1) A dramatic ageing population leading to a future where immigrants are required for survival, however, once in the holy land of Disney, multiculturalism may make porous the West itself. (2) Genocide against the Other, resisting internal transformative processes and (3) the Artificial Society, wherein diversity and the Other are pushed back since high productivity can be achieved through the new information and genetic technologies, that is, through reductionist science and linear economic progress. While the latter technocratic scenario is most likely, there are possibilities that a more multicultural, gaian, communicative, globalist future may emerge. 2012-09-28T05:22:37.554Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21745 Planetary futures are explored in the context of two scenarios. The Artificial Society led by dramatic developments in information and genetic technologies and the Multicultural Society driven by concerns for inclusiveness and equity. These scenarios are explored in context of structures of power, the weight of the patterns of history. 2012-09-28T05:22:36.359Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21746 Futures studies is likely to evolve through changes in five areas. They are: (1) forecasting to anticipatory action learning; (2) reductionist to complex; (3) horizontal to vertical; (4) from short-term empiricist research to the return of long-term history, including grand narratives; and (5) scenario development to moral futures. 2012-09-28T05:22:34.052Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21747 Sohail Inayatullah argues that the events of September 11th point to the reality that it is strategy and power that define higher culture, not the rule of law. He sees the world as seeking a higher order legal framework in order to resolve the violence. 2012-09-28T05:22:32.667Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21748 In this article, we challenge the hegemony of western science fiction, arguing that western science fiction is particular even as it claims universality. Its view remains based on ideas of the future as forward time. In contrast, in non-western science fiction the future is seen outside linear terms: as cyclical or spiral, or in terms of ancestors. In addition, western science fiction has focused on the good society as created by technological progress, while non-western science fiction and futures thinking has focused on the fantastic, on the spiritual, on the realization of eupsychia-the perfect self. However, most theorists assert that the non-west has no science fiction, ignoring Asian and Chinese science fiction history, and western science fiction continues to 'other' the non-west as well as those on the margins of the west (African-American woman, for example). Nonetheless, while most western science fiction remains trapped in binary opposites-alien/non-alien; masculine/feminine; insider/ outsider-writers from the west's margins are creating texts that contradict tradition and modernity, seeking new ways to transcend difference. Given that the imagination of the future creates the reality of tomorrow, creating new science fictions is not just an issue of textual critique but of opening up possibilities for all our futures. Science fiction has always been nearly all white, just as until recently, it's been nearly all male (Butler as quoted in Ref. [1]). Science fiction has long treated people who might or might not exist-extra- terrestrials. Unfortunately, however, many of the same science fiction writers who started us thinking about the possibility of extra- terrestrial life did nothing to make us think about here-at home variation-women, blacks, Indians, Asians, Hispanics, etc [1]. Is all science fiction western? Is there non-western science fiction? If so, what is its nature? Does it follow the form and content of western science fiction, or is it rendered different by its own local civilizational historical processes and considerations? Has western science fiction moulded the development of the science fiction of the 'other', including feminist science fiction, in such a way that anything coming from outside the west is a mere imitation of the real thing? Perhaps non-western science fiction is a contradiction in terms. Or is there authentic non-western fiction which offers alternative visions of the future, of the 'other'? 2012-09-28T05:22:30.719Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21749 Based on the experience of transport policy and scenario planning in South-East Queensland, this essay explores the alternative futures of transport. It does so by first exploring the weight of lock-ins that make creating new futures nearly impossible. Next, the ways that the future can be used to transform policy are explored. Three futures methods are used to articulate the alternative futures of transport. These are the futures triangle (the push, pull and weight of the future); scenarios (triple bottom line to Gaia, industrial realism to likely collapse, global technologization leading to artificial societies, and localization leading to a return of the past) and causal layered analysis. The essay concludes with a feminist unpacking of transportation futures. 2012-09-28T05:22:29.275Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21752 Ageing is a fundamental issue for the future of the planet An ageing society challenges basic assumptions of modern culture and political economy. This paper explores alternative futures of ageing in Queensland, understanding that certain assumptions about Queensland's future are given. It is also focused on probable futures, and not on every possible future. Based on this map of the future-developed through causal layered analysis and scenario planning - policy recommendations are developed for the Queensland Government. 2012-09-28T05:22:27.564Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21753 1 page(s) 2012-09-28T05:22:25.955Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21755 7 page(s) 2012-09-28T05:22:24.504Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21756 Purpose - To provide a futures-oriented perspective on institutional change. Design/methodology/approach - Presents methods and case studies of attempts to engage in institutional change. An international authority on future studies draws on his field to provide a futures-oriented perspective on institutional change. This perspective includes the use of futures tools, strategy, capacity building, the central role of memes, emergence of self-organization, and the underlying role of meaning and symbols. Five case studies are used to illustrate these principles. Findings - One company was struggling over its governing choice of institutional metaphor: the tortoise versus the hare. Another was caught up in treating hackers as good versus evil, but realized that they needed new concepts to grasp the frontier of cyberspace. A third case involved moving from developing a monolithic plan to forming self-organizing groups of stakeholders that actually created a collective new vision. A city council was able to recognize the need to shift toward an innovative organizational structure. The final case challenged a group of mayors to adopt a "rainforest" model of cities that is inclusive, green, human-centered. Originality/value - Mapping, understanding and transforming the "myths" discussed in this paper are crucial for the move from individual to organization to institutional change. 2012-09-28T05:22:20.350Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21754 Taking an autobiographical approach, this essay traces the history of the World Futures Studies Federation. This personal story is juxtaposed with issues of collective identity - what is the federation, and what can it be in the future? 2012-09-28T05:22:19.879Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21757 6 page(s) 2012-09-28T05:22:14.996Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21759 Anticipatory action learning (AAL) draws from action learning/research traditions and Futures Studies to develop a unique style of questioning the future with intent to transform organization and society. Case studies from futures workshops are used to illustrate the main points of anticipatory action learning. These are: (1) sensitivity to the environment - Workshop dynamics and ways of learning/knowing of participants, (2) questioning leads to anxiety in the organization, (3) anticipatory action learning can be easily appropriated, (4) resistance must be named, understood and transformed, and (5) the future is deepened by authentic understanding of the other. 2012-09-28T05:22:14.991Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21760 8 page(s) 2012-09-28T05:22:11.205Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21758 In this article, written as part of a consulting report for the insurance industry, key trends that are likely to impact the motor insurance industry are presented. These trends include: globalization; the rise of the cultural creatives; customization; the rise of the info-tailor; and ageing. From these trends sketches of three scenarios are presented. These are the great divide; smart cars and smart insurance; and from cars for all to mobility for all. 2012-09-28T05:22:10.987Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21763 4 page(s) 2012-09-28T05:22:05.721Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21761 Purpose - To explore the alternative futures of work and the changing nature of the organization. Design/methodology/approach - Along with a long-term macrohistorical approach, two futures methods are used: emerging issues analysis and scenarios. Findings - Four scenarios are developed: business as usual (pendulum of labour versus capital); social and innovative transformation (moving toward the triple bottom line and flatter organizations); gut-wrenching globalization (outsourcing of everything and the end of the nation-state); and the unknown world (dramatic changes in the nature of work and organization, particularly because of AI technologies). Originality/value - Novel approach in linking macrohistory to emerging issues to scenarios. Challenges litany approaches to work and the organization and links with deeper worldviews. 2012-09-28T05:22:03.965Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21762 6 page(s) 2012-09-28T05:22:00.840Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21765 Drawing inspiration from the recent Australian Association for Environmental Education conference, this essay paints a different possible scenario for the future of Australia. 2012-09-28T05:21:56.975Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21764 Purpose - Innovation in information and communication technologies, combined with change in social and cultural attitudes, is raising questions about the future for libraries and librarians. This article seeks to examine alternative futures that were developed at a workshop organized by Brisbane City Council in June 2006. Design/methodology/approach - Through the discussion of provocative discussion points, four possible futures emerged - "the lean, information machine, "co-location for community capacity building, "knowledge navigator, and "dinosaurs of the digital knowledge era". Findings - The library is undergoing a foundational shift in services, design and purpose. To survive and thrive in the future libraries will have to adapt to these changing conditions. Originality/value - The article identifies some key strategic questions for libraries, particularly those provided by municipal authorities. These strategic questions remain unanswered but this article contributes to the debate. 2012-09-28T05:21:55.365Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21766 2 page(s) 2012-09-28T05:21:50.872Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21768 Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to present a new approach to the study of the future. Design/methodology/approach - The paper describes six foundational concepts (the used future, the disowned future, alternative futures, alignment, models of social change, and uses of the future), six questions (will, fear, missing, alternatives, wish, and next steps as related to the future) and six pillars (mapping, anticipating, timing, deepening, creating alternatives, and transforming), giving examples and case studies where appropriate. Findings - In an increasingly complex and heterogeneous world, futures studies can help people to recover their agency, and help them to create the world in which they wish to live. Originality/value - The paper integrates and builds on a variety of futures studies' concepts, ways of thinking and techniques and integrates them into a new approach. 2012-09-28T05:21:50.374Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21769 In this essay, I outline five futures for Pakistan: (1) the Pendulum continues forever, (2) Collapse, (3) joining Chindia, (4) the Great Game, and (5) a South Asian Confederation. The most familiar and likely are based on the pendulum of rule by the military and rule by landlord/politicians. However, what is needed is to move from the more likely and less desirable futures to a process of anticipatory democracy where the citizens of Pakistan consider, create and commit to building their preferred future. 2012-09-28T05:21:47.515Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21767 This essay outlines some of the crucial points to be taken into consideration by futurists-in-training in order to avoid the many mistakes which can be easily made. These comprise right timing, real participation, scenarios, developing a preferred vision of the future, using metaphors, using mixed approaches, depth, the surprise future and implementation. The role of the futurist is long term pedagogy, finding solutions for current problems by challenging administrative structures and asking individuals to rethink how and why they do certain things. The reality of practice and idealism of vision is what will create an alternative future. 2012-09-28T05:21:46.933Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21770 3 page(s) 2012-09-28T05:21:43.928Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21771 6 page(s) 2012-09-28T05:21:42.350Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21772 The strength of futures studies is its epistemological pluralism. Integral futures as defined by Slaughter and Riedy loses sight of this strength. Instead of an interpretive dialogue, the "Integral Extension" seeks to frame and define causal layered analysis (CLA) within its own terms. Its proponents do so by constructing their version of Integral as above-more evolved, higher, more... and CLA as lower. Integral, in Riedy and Slaughter's terms, appears to inhabit the totalizing linear modernist paradigm, not to mention the straightjacket of the masculinist discourse. Their strategy is the classic defining of the other within the terms of the person who seeks to define. Riedy's piece in particular makes a strange series of errors in that it: (1) confuses Vedanta with Tantra; (2) misreads subjectivity-arguing that subjectivity does not exist for the poststructural, instead of seeing how the self is contextualized with structure and genealogy (as in Foucault's work); (3) misses the entire work around inner CLA; (4) adopts the Orientalist discourse of constructing CLA as cultural (instead of recognizing that it seeks to move up and down layers of data, systems, worldviews and myths), and (5) is not grounded in the practice of conducting layered analysis with varied groups. This essay concludes by arguing that there is no need for this battle. We do not need to be either for or against Integral or CLA. We can live in multiple spaces, use different theories and methodologies, each having its purpose, each useful depending on the person, time and particular space we inhabit. 2012-09-28T05:21:40.383Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21810 In this paper using causal layered analysis, the underlying stories of the global financial crisis (gfc) are explored. The seven narratives presented are the GFC as: 1) a mortgage crisis, 2) a global banking crisis, 3) as part of the natural creative destruction cycle of the capitalist system, 4) a geopolitical shift from the USA to Chindia, 5) part of God’s plan, 6) a symptom of the inequity of the world capitalist system, and 7) a window of opportunity to a transformed greener partnership world. From analysis, the essay moves to five scenarios of the futures of the world system. These are: 1) business as usual, 2) the rise of «Chindia», 3) the quick and long road to sustainability, 4) the end game of capitalism, and 5) a new era. 2012-09-28T05:20:17.904Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21387 4 page(s) 2012-09-13T12:01:57.144Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21390 4 page(s) 2012-09-13T12:01:47.183Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21376 This article describes Universiti Sains Malaysia's foresight journey. It begins by exploring five alternative scenarios of higher education: (1) The A' la Carte University, (2) The Invisible University, (3) The Corporate University, (4) The State University, and (5) The University in The Garden. These scenarios are followed by Universiti Sains Malaysia's preferred vision of the future. It then examines the journey towards the preferred visión by articulating four stages of transformation: visioning, contesting, dynamic equilibrium, and self-direction/externalisation. The article concludes with an analysis of USM's current position, in transition between the contestation and dynamic equilibrium stages. 2012-09-12T18:30:36.965Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21377 This article discusses: 1. The recent/increasing prominence of cities as agents of global change; 2. Emerging issues that are likely to influence the direction of city futures in novel ways; 3. The theory and practise of city futures projects; and 4. Case studies of cities engaged in foresight projects. 2012-09-12T18:30:33.088Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21375 Using causal layered analysis, the underlying stories of the global financial crisis are explored. The seven narratives presented are the GFC as: (1) a mortgage crisis, (2) a global banking crisis, (3) creative destruction, as part of natural cycles, (4) a geopolitical shift, (5) God's plan, (6) symptom of the inequity of capitalism, and (7) a window of opportunity to a different, greener world. The essay concludes with five scenarios of the futures of the world system. These are: (1) business as usual, (2) the rise of 'Chindia', (3) the quick and long road to sustainability, (4) the end game of capitalism, and (5) a new era. 2012-09-12T18:30:33.059Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21378 Rapidly urbanising coastal locations represent prototypes of future cities. While these "sea change" locations will face a range of issues associated with rapid growth such as infrastructure provision and enhancement of social capital, anticipated environmental impacts are likely to add significant challenges. Climate change is likely to have dramatic impacts on sea change communities through diminished potable water supplies, rising sea levels, storm surges, and increased intensity of flood events - with indirect impacts on health, financial sectors, and biodiversity. Given the inherent diversity within sea change communities with regard to age, culture, and socio-economic status there are likely to be differences in ways of adapting, the ability to adapt, and the desired direction of any changes. Cognizant of the potential enormity of climate change impacts, the need for rapid responses, and the diversity within communities, this paper proposes a participatory and transformative method to work with communities in responding to climate change and variability within rapidly urbanising coastal locations. The method focuses on determining probable futures for various communities of place and interest within sea change areas and aims to build the capacity for dynamic on-going learning to achieve those futures, both within and between the communities. Through this process community members may be empowered with dynamic and future-orientated learning skills that build upon community knowledge, innovation, and resilience. 2012-09-12T18:30:27.368Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21380 7 page(s) 2012-09-12T18:30:23.148Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21381 8 page(s) 2012-09-12T18:30:23.144Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21193 Investigators have been shown to be prone to accessing information that confirms their preferred hypothesis. This tendency has been termed hypothesis confirmation. Hypothesis confirmation behaviour was explored in two studies using a computer administered simulation of a murder investigation. In Study 1, hypothesis confirmation behaviour did not differentiate successful and unsuccessful participants. However, unsuccessful participants stored more confirmatory information than non-confirmatory information. Successful participants did not show this pattern. In Study 2, unsuccessful participants tended to settle early on a suspect and then acquired information that supported their decision. Successful participants tended to consider a number of suspects for longer and accessed a greater diversity of information. Taken together, these findings are highly suggestive of the role of information acquisition as an important component of hypothesis confirmatory behaviour, which is associated with unsuccessful information processing in the context of a simulated murder investigation. Implications for practice are presented. 2012-09-06T23:11:22.255Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:21010 This article assesses former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev's proposal for a new security system and varying perspectives in the context of this development. US-led unipolarity has been undermined as a gradually more independent 'Europe' has weakened transatlantic unity and that of a broader 'West'. Russia could neither join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization or the European Union (EU), nor assume directorship for security in the former Soviet Union. It has nonetheless increased its ties and influence with the EU, becoming a major trade partner and the biggest supplier of energy resources. A discourse of multipolarity accompanies Russian geopolitical ambitions and incorporates demands for new arrangements that can facilitate reliable cooperation in the security field and beyond. This implies recognising and accommodating Russian interests, which presents challenges to existing organisations. Medvedev's proposal is viewed differently by political-security sectors in the United States, Germany, France, Poland, Russia and the hybrid EU. 2012-08-25T01:00:06.142Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20683 Will Asia lead the world in green technologies and in the political–economic transition to sustainability? Can Asia bury past conflicts and create stronger regional institutions including perhaps, step by step, an Asian Union? In what ways could Asia's traditional cultures – Islamic, Tantric, Taoist, Confucian, Buddhist and Vedic – be resources in inventing an alternative more hybrid cultures? 2012-08-02T03:00:16.611Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20473 2 page(s) 2012-07-19T22:51:39.479Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20481 5 page(s) 2012-07-19T22:51:28.036Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20447 Book review of "Bourdieu on Religion: Imposing Faith and Legitimacy" by Terry Ray. London: Equinox. 2007. 2012-07-16T12:22:40.030Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20316 A book review of Elisabeth Arwech and William Keenan, eds.: Materializing Religion: Expression, Performance and Ritual. Aldershot, UK: Ashgate, 2006. ISBN: 9780754650942. 2012-07-11T11:23:37.759Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20361 Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to overview the futures of the university by analyzing critical drivers. It also aims to assess drivers identified a decade ago on university futures. Design/methodology/approach: The paper reviews drivers, trends and scenarios. Findings: The paper finds first, globalization will likely continue but innovation will move to Chindia. Second, democratization has resulted by not as imagined a decade ago, rather, peer-to-peer or web 2.0 has changed the game. Three new scenarios are articulated: Wikipedia university; core-periphery reversed and incremental managerialism. Bliss for all remains an outlier. Practical implications: Asian-Pacific universities instead of adopting the used future of the core will find it wiser to innovate and create new visions as well as to develop new global ranking systems. Social implications: Traditional universities are the likely dinosaurs unable to thrive in a dramatically changing world. Increasing inequity in traditional western universities will likely further devalue higher education. New models of inclusion are required. Originality/value: The paper articulates new scenarios of the future, and assesses trends identified a decade ago. It provides a strategy for university administrators to navigate the challenges ahead. 2012-07-11T11:22:23.860Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20323 Arguably, on eof th emost difficult challenges facing law enforcement officers today is carrying out interviews with Islamist terror suspects. These interviews are often carried out in a context of fear, anger and distress and there is often significant political pressure upon law enforcement to get results. Some law enforcement officers may be motivated to obtain information from terrorist suspects by any means possible, with a risk that approaches to interviewing involving threats and aggression may be regarded as acceptable and even, in certain circumstances, desirable. This chapter will coonsider some of the issues interviews with Islamist terror suspects present for law enforcement and will consider how interviewers might balance their legitimate need to obtain informtion with an ethical interviewing approach informed by psychological theory and extant knowledge of Islamist Extremism. 2012-07-09T06:23:20.944Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20322 2012-07-09T06:23:17.066Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20324 The present study examined behavioral coping actions and coping strategies in relation to specific contextual factors (e.g., victim-stalker relationship, stalking violence, duration of stalking, and prior victimization) among Finnish university students. Participants completed a stalking survey, also including items concerning coping. Victims of violent stalking threatened the stalker with the use of certain legal actions significantly more compared with victims of nonviolent stalking, but no difference in the actual use of formal help was found. Instead victims of stalking tried to avoid the stalker or turned to friends and family for help. Victim-stalker relationship, stalker violence, and number of stalking episodes had a significant main effect on certain coping strategies (e.g., positive reappraisal, escape-avoidance, and problem-solving), while no interaction effect was found. The findings suggest that knowledge of victim-coping behavior and strategies is crucial for health care and law enforcement professionals when devising appropriate support for victims and developing multidisciplinary approaches. 2012-07-09T06:23:11.340Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20349 14 pages(s) 2012-07-09T06:20:50.788Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20267 1 page(s) 2012-07-04T14:04:00.587Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20268 2 page(s) 2012-07-04T14:03:36.468Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:18459 The aim of this paper is to use Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) to map the International Relations (IR) theories of ‘China threat’ and ‘Peaceful rise’. The paper looks at the way in which Western and Chinese constructs and prevailing metaphors impact the debate on the ‘rise’ of China and what limitations each view brings to the discourse. Both theories are shown to be problematic in their own way. It is argued that China futures need to be further investigated using more complex tools such as CLA to enable more than well rehearsed patterns of the future to emerge. 2012-07-02T09:17:59.803Z ]]> http://www.researchonline.mq.edu.au/vital/access/manager/Repository/mq:20126 Given the scale of challenges posed by the threat of terrorism and the perpetually limited resources available to counter terrorism, there is widespread agreement – if on nothing else - on the fact that there is an urgent need to find ways to prioritise the use of those resources. In this research note we argue that a greater consideration of the role of psychology in the development of risk assessment procedures may well be a useful tool to enable such prioritisation in a number of critical areas. It ought to be noted at the outset that there are many obvious challenges facing efforts to design risk assessment tools. Questions necessarily emerge about who needs to be assessed for risk and additionally - stemming from the conceptual confusion over what is meant by terrorism, and by extension, extremism - we might also wonder what is being risk-assessed? And finally then, we might ask what factors are related to the level of risk posed, and how we might identify these. At present we do not have complete answers to all of these questions, but this research note aims to explore some of these issues as a first step in the design of risk assessment tools for development in counter-terrorism. 2012-07-02T09:05:41.896Z ]]>