Beyond three score years and ten : prospects for longevity in Australia | Macquarie University ResearchOnline

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Title: Beyond three score years and ten : prospects for longevity in Australia
Related: People and place, Vol. 12, Issue 1, p.15-27
Publisher: Monash University
Date: 2004
Author/Creator: Booth, Heather
Author/Creator: Tickle, Leonie
Description: Most estimates and projections of life expectancy are based on period measures. This paper presents forecasts of cohort life expectancy for older generations derived using the Lee-Carter method of forecasting mortality. These cohort measures point to more years of life expectancy than the commonly-cited current period measures. The new forecasts also indicate a more rapid increase in future life expectancy than official projections assume. Policy-makers and those planning retirement should take into account that Australians are likely to live longer than currently envisaged.
Description: 13 page(s)
Subject Keyword: mortality
Subject Keyword: demography
Subject Keyword: forecasting
Resource Type: journal article
Organisation: Macquarie University. Dept. of Actuarial Studies

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